Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.168708 0.193550 0.221861 0.256740 0.298868 0.348509 0.412022
2025-05-04 0.131866 0.164251 0.205329 0.262261 0.340766 0.447756 0.609254
2025-05-11 0.110336 0.145940 0.194857 0.269174 0.383367 0.559801 0.869902
2025-05-18 0.094926 0.131429 0.184782 0.272021 0.418707 0.671540 1.183074
2025-05-25 0.083477 0.119903 0.175898 0.273272 0.450284 0.786994 1.565922
2025-06-01 0.074191 0.109825 0.166943 0.271599 0.475259 0.898821 2.012257
2025-06-08 0.066349 0.100709 0.157755 0.267065 0.492890 1.002148 2.514238
2025-06-15 0.061826 0.096282 0.155598 0.274741 0.537250 1.185040 3.403624
2025-06-22 0.056200 0.089212 0.147618 0.269240 0.551068 1.299009 4.191291
2025-06-29 0.052470 0.084959 0.144100 0.272043 0.585103 1.485926 5.501348
2025-07-06 0.048553 0.079904 0.138332 0.268838 0.603353 1.636796 6.891715
2025-07-13 0.045965 0.076982 0.136282 0.273471 0.643906 1.886093 9.304061
2025-07-20 0.043764 0.074606 0.135121 0.280293 0.694381 2.212536 13.143683
2025-07-27 0.041645 0.072171 0.133537 0.285902 0.744197 2.581422 18.767727
2025-08-03 0.039882 0.070242 0.132762 0.293444 0.803776 3.053052 28.058438
2025-08-10 0.037946 0.067768 0.130470 0.296568 0.850360 3.514773 40.973529
2025-08-17 0.036072 0.065237 0.127729 0.297949 0.891934 4.003020 60.100413
2025-08-24 0.034160 0.062452 0.124078 0.296078 0.921090 4.459855 86.402093
2025-08-31 0.032227 0.059460 0.119609 0.291020 0.936171 4.851707 120.561671
2025-09-07 0.031255 0.058431 0.119670 0.299581 1.012979 5.829718 222.653749
2025-09-14 0.029549 0.055672 0.115240 0.293445 1.022770 6.286885 325.759148
2025-09-21 0.028463 0.054186 0.113792 0.296571 1.078014 7.280822 619.223536
2025-09-28 0.027126 0.052042 0.110470 0.292997 1.099781 8.001292 1071.965911